Nocturnal-Ton
0x86e9576a7f6b6ce88a8cb3eff1a2da87d7923606
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$4.30
Total PnL
$-12.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 21?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.98
$-0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 21?
7 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.77
$0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 21?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.59
$-0.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 21?
7 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.56
$-0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 21?
7 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.42
$-0.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 21?
7 shares @ 11.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.28
$-0.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 21?
7 shares @ 9.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.14
$-0.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 21?
7 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.12
$-0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 21?
7 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.11
$0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 21?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.11
$-0.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 21?$0.30May 19, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 21?$1.05May 19, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 21?$0.75May 19, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 21?$0.14May 19, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 21?$0.66May 19, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 21?$0.53May 19, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 21?$0.22May 19, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 21?$0.88May 19, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 21?$0.07May 19, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 21?$0.22May 19, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 21?$0.80May 19, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 21?$0.73May 19, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 21?$0.66May 19, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 21?$0.03May 19, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 21?$1.05May 19, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?$1.00May 18, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 17?$27.55May 18, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 16?$0.00May 17, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 16?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on May 16?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $0.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 15:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 23:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".