Sad-Overexertion
0x8738a1fb67e25ad7c022716fd0eda50f2368e1c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$389.04
Total PnL
$-6.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
61 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$59.51
$-0.21
- NO
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?
61 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$59.17
$-0.61
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
61 shares @ 94.8¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$58.04
$0.21
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
61 shares @ 97.5¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$57.98
$-1.49
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
61 shares @ 95.4¢·now 90.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$55.42
$-2.78
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
53 shares @ 95.4¢·now 93.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$49.48
$-1.09
- NO
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
51 shares @ 97.1¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$49.44
$-0.08
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$29.05May 17, 14:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?$49.67May 16, 04:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLRussian strike on Poland by June 30?$48.86May 15, 02:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?$58.19May 14, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$59.48May 14, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $10M committed to the Printr public sale?$2.76May 14, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$59.72May 14, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$57.83May 14, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$20.00May 14, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$48.44May 14, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $10M committed to the Printr public sale?$47.22May 14, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.98May 14, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$24.55May 14, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$25.51May 14, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$11.34May 14, 06:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $33.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".