Distinct-Differential
0x8758115222c892ca279e22bee92a95d4a49382cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$43.86
Total PnL
$-149.25
Realised
$-0.08
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
52 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$43.86
$0.26
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
150 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
98 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
88 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
45 shares @ 44.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
21 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-18.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 6?
20 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.92
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 4?
15 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-7.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$33.82May 19, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$10.06May 19, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 31?$0.00Apr 22, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 31?$0.00Apr 22, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 31?$0.00Apr 22, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$0.00Apr 22, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?$1.08Apr 22, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.00Feb 28, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.00Feb 28, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$20.00Feb 28, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$9.60Jan 4, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$5.65Jan 4, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$12.52Jan 4, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$9.00Jan 4, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$15.46Jan 4, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$10.00Jan 4, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$15.18Jan 4, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$5.00Jan 4, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$6.20Jan 4, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$10.75Jan 4, 04:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 11:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 13:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".