Chubby-Prior
0x879752bca887bc247ba883a52bc45e9c6be6bbbe
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$51.3K
Total PnL
$-9.7K
Realised
$6.1K
Win rate
43%
56 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
18276 shares @ 68.8¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.5K
$2.0K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
11510 shares @ 48.4¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.0K
$5.4K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
12341 shares @ 41.7¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.8K
$3.7K
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
8228 shares @ 87.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.6K
$380.57
- NO
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
4557 shares @ 46.5¢·now 33.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$-613.85
- NO
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?
1075 shares @ 52.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$962.09
$394.13
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1140 shares @ 43.1¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$894.70
$402.80
- NO
Will Ralph Nwobi advance from the CA-07 primary election?
876 shares @ 86.1¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$709.78
$-44.73
- NO
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
720 shares @ 67.7¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$693.00
$205.54
- NO
Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?
756 shares @ 36.1¢·now 89.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$675.76
$402.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$462.21May 17, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?$201.62May 17, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?$213.92May 17, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$288.30May 16, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$453.10May 16, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$133.03May 16, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$391.50May 16, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$91.90May 16, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$3.5KMay 16, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$65.70May 16, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$97.29May 16, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$427.46May 16, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$35.00May 15, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$157.64May 15, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$150.52May 15, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$697.48May 15, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$41.48May 15, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$769.86May 15, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$401.50May 15, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$937.44May 14, 23:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $460.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 23:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 14:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 56 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".