Adolescent-Bellows
0x87d6a04aa4e48c6e7a7c9b009d70f1c79e7ed1e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$519.43
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$41.33
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events in Rockland County?
280 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 22, 2026$278.87
$1.68
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1969 shares @ 5.1¢·now 9.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$182.15
$82.70
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
450 shares @ 25.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$56.20
$-56.20
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
70 shares @ 16.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.09
$-10.18
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
400 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$-15.00
- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
227 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.11
$-13.52
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 22?
1112 shares @ 96.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
347 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-41.65
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
153 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-18.36
- NO
Will Boston Legacy FC win on 2026-05-12?
7 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.68
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.06May 22, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.19May 22, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$32.00May 22, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$45.68May 22, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$41.83May 22, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$5.84May 22, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$0.32May 22, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$9.15May 22, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$22.64May 22, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events in Rockland County?$261.18May 22, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events in Rockland County?$6.59May 22, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events in Rockland County?$9.41May 22, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Chair" this week?$20.00May 22, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Chair" this week?$19.80May 22, 15:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 22, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Nix Team vs Stray Team - Game 1 Winner$13.94May 21, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 22?$126.93May 21, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 22?$949.95May 21, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Nix Team vs Stray Team - Game 1 Winner$13.80May 21, 17:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 21, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $42.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 01:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 23:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".