Numb-Populist
0x87ecbd4bfae18995e7ec7f9094ecb22407921ee8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$7.9K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$58.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
1553 shares @ 64.4¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$172.21
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1168 shares @ 85.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.0K
$10.28
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10282 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$858.58
$-41.41
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4289 shares @ 16.3¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$714.19
$14.20
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5626 shares @ 8.9¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$509.14
$9.15
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4425 shares @ 11.3¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$502.21
$2.22
- YES
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-17?
500 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$500.00
$300.00
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
779 shares @ 64.1¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$455.90
$-44.10
- NO
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1429 shares @ 28.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$407.00
$7.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4516 shares @ 7.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$372.61
$22.62
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.36May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-17?$203.60May 18, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.0KMay 17, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?$109.66May 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$76.93May 17, 21:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$104.70May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$104.02May 16, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$104.52May 16, 22:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$83.36May 15, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$6.76May 15, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$56.57May 15, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$52.07May 15, 02:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?$341.02May 14, 16:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$408.64May 12, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.05May 12, 19:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $265.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 18:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".