Flat-Reference
0x8826e1fc38d0e63f4582464ab5aef6e4f3c3fe47
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$174.97
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?
51 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.80
$0.66
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?
51 shares @ 96.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$48.70
$-0.61
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat?
51 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$48.20
$-0.25
- NO
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
28 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.4¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$27.27
$0.06
- ASTROS
Athletics vs. Astros
1600 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2025$0.00
$-976.00
- REDS
Braves vs. Reds
1600 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-944.00
- ANGELS
White Sox vs. Angels
900 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2025$0.00
$-504.00
- ASTROS
Nationals vs. Astros
800 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2025$0.00
$-536.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?$49.32May 16, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?$12.85May 15, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?$14.37May 15, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat?$48.45May 14, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?$50.13May 14, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?$27.64May 8, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?$27.61May 4, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?$20.00Apr 30, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?$19.46Mar 16, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMPadres vs. Diamondbacks$500.00Aug 5, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYPadres vs. Diamondbacks$129.00Aug 4, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYPadres vs. Diamondbacks$86.00Aug 4, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWhite Sox vs. Angels$504.00Aug 1, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBraves vs. Reds$944.00Jul 31, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMCubs vs. Brewers$2.4KJul 31, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCubs vs. Brewers$235.00Jul 30, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCubs vs. Brewers$893.00Jul 30, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMBlue Jays vs. Orioles$1.5KJul 30, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlue Jays vs. Orioles$750.00Jul 29, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNationals vs. Astros$536.00Jul 28, 11:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $236.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 14:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 05:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".