0x889d9e03c3d241db5a469704a08bad9782398342
0x889d9e03c3d241db5a469704a08bad9782398342
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$65.80
Total PnL
$-13.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$7.14
$6.14
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
25 shares @ 11.9¢·now 23.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.90
$2.90
- YES
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
53 shares @ 11.3¢·now 8.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.43
$-1.57
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
40 shares @ 7.5¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
25 shares @ 7.9¢·now 11.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.96
$0.96
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
16 shares @ 19.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
21 shares @ 9.4¢·now 10.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.32
$0.32
- YES
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
68 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$0.00May 16, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$0.00May 16, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$0.00May 16, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$0.00May 10, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$0.00May 10, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00May 10, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYModi out by December 31, 2026?$2.07May 9, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.89May 8, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?$2.09May 8, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$2.09May 8, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$2.03May 8, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$1.01May 8, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.04May 7, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$1.00May 7, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$1.00May 7, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$1.00May 7, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$1.00May 7, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out by June 30?$1.00May 7, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping divorce before 2027?$1.04May 7, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$1.00May 7, 14:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 01:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 02:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".