Vague-Speech
0x88e2b1b6c7847828fc91af43aba2fee07fb07489
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$43.0K
Total PnL
$-6.2K
Realised
$156.70
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
20144 shares @ 79.7¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$15.4K
$-636.32
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
12121 shares @ 57.6¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.1K
$3.1K
- NO
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
5329 shares @ 87.2¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.1K
$493.67
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
5000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.7K
$175.00
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
4375 shares @ 75.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.8K
$503.11
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
2594 shares @ 71.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$64.85
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
1895 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.8K
$165.82
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
535 shares @ 16.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$61.54
$-24.08
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
86 shares @ 48.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$49.45
$8.17
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 82.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$33.57
$3.97
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$3.70May 18, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$296.00May 18, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$114.38May 18, 02:45 UTC
- REWARD$10.94May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$5.06May 17, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$1.10May 17, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$5.06May 17, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$1.10May 17, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$1.10May 17, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$2.00May 17, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$2.00May 17, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$2.00May 17, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$201.64May 17, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$14.80May 17, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$1.00May 17, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$3.60May 17, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$26.43May 17, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$14.80May 17, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$37.00May 17, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$20.00May 17, 06:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $294.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 20:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".