Elaborate-Fortnight
0x89dc175ed45651561cbbfe691ae7e9074e0b7952
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$3.33
Total PnL
$0.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 21?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.16
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on May 21?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.10
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on May 22?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.06
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on May 22?$1.03May 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 21?$1.11May 19, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on May 21?$1.08May 19, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 19?$1.03May 18, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$1.12May 17, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or higher on May 17?$1.07May 17, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on May 16?$1.13May 16, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on May 16?$1.13May 16, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$1.02May 16, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or higher on May 17?$1.03May 16, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on May 16?$1.02May 15, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on May 16?$1.02May 14, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 13?$1.06May 13, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?$1.12May 13, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on May 12?$1.20May 13, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?$1.17May 12, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 11?$1.06May 12, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 11?$1.09May 12, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 11?$1.12May 11, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?$1.07May 11, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 17:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".