First-Prison
0x8a1e1e8fec1fb91f12ba3b8ebec52d2eda21bd03
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$61.59
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
494 shares @ 50.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$427.07
$177.60
- NO
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
546 shares @ 16.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$319.52
$232.13
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
6467 shares @ 5.1¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$291.00
$-38.99
- NO
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
366 shares @ 4.1¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$267.21
$252.21
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
12089 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$175.29
$-14.64
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
323 shares @ 31.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$117.74
$17.74
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
213 shares @ 46.9¢·now 48.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$103.94
$3.94
- YES
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
2173 shares @ 3.5¢·now 4.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$102.14
$27.14
- NO
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 55.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$92.45
$72.45
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
222 shares @ 36.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$87.78
$7.78
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$25.00May 17, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$40.00May 17, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$20.00May 17, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$85.00May 17, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00May 17, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$60.00May 17, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$60.26May 17, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 17, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$10.00May 17, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$100.00May 17, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$100.00May 17, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$111.54May 17, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$51.25May 17, 05:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$98.67May 16, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$60.02May 16, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$207.29May 16, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?$0.00May 16, 17:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $124.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 18:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".