Responsible-Illness
0x8a6f88471cab4d819349a8becf9661c0f5f9a3ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$-6.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
565 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.1¢·exp May 22, 2026$543.44
$4.52
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
449 shares @ 94.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$447.07
$20.64
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
12098 shares @ 50.3¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 15, 2026$193.56
$-5.9K
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
740 shares @ 98.3¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 15, 2026$11.48
$-716.12
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
100 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-0.70
- YES
Will Republicans have 230 or more seats in House after election?
100 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.1KMay 19, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$58.42May 19, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$17.82May 19, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$58.66May 19, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$65.78May 19, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$773.12May 19, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$671.47May 19, 01:06 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.52May 19, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$54.29May 19, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$2.0KMay 19, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$47.50May 19, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$5.95May 19, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$4.6KMay 18, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.10May 18, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$8.00May 18, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.00May 18, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.10May 18, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.00May 18, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$163.24May 18, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.13May 18, 15:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $309.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 02:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 02:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".