Writhing-Chopsticks
0x8a830bc4a1cde89b9c6ba9fbf4fa4996e3339c10
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$51.22
Total PnL
$8.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1981 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$32.68
$7.68
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$7.45
$4.45
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
214 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.57
$-2.96
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
47 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
17 shares @ 11.7¢·now 6.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.09
$-0.91
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
15 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.22
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.53Apr 25, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$15.00Apr 25, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?$2.33Apr 25, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.63Apr 25, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.81Apr 25, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$5.91Apr 25, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leandro Rocha be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?$0.00Apr 22, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leandro Rocha be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?$5.00Apr 17, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leandro Rocha be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?$0.40Apr 17, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?$6.22Apr 17, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00Apr 17, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordana Morais be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?$0.31Apr 15, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26?$0.57Apr 15, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?$3.00Apr 13, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordana Morais be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?$6.00Apr 13, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?$3.00Apr 13, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$5.00Apr 12, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?$2.00Apr 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.42Apr 10, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$5.10Apr 10, 22:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 14:28 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 15:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".