Smug-Candidacy
0x8a87f44094432e0b24db5b6594aaf04581088bc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$146.80
Total PnL
$0.03
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 69°F or below on May 23?
61 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 23, 2026$60.68
$0.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C or below on May 23?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 23, 2026$29.88
$-0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 23?
16 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 23, 2026$16.43
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 23?
15 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 23, 2026$14.97
$-0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 23?
9 shares @ 77.5¢·now 77.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$6.55
$-0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on May 23?
6 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 23, 2026$6.27
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 23?
6 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 23, 2026$5.93
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 23?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 23, 2026$3.04
$-0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 23?
2 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 23, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 23?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.04
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 23?$1.47May 22, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 23?$1.47May 22, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 23?$1.47May 22, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 23?$5.95May 22, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 23?$3.07May 22, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 23?$3.03May 22, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on May 23?$6.26May 22, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 23?$3.63May 22, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 23?$0.10May 22, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 23?$13.35May 22, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 23?$2.82May 22, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 23?$13.92May 22, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on May 23?$7.92May 22, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 23?$8.28May 21, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 23?$1.11May 21, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 23?$0.11May 21, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 23?$3.03May 21, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 23?$8.18May 21, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 23?$0.89May 21, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 23?$0.74May 21, 21:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 12:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 02:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".