Blaring-Backdrop
0x8a98109fb0f1d87d9bfcb4486ba3587b95c51b92
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$44.5K
Total PnL
$1.8K
Realised
$2.6K
Win rate
41%
83 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
2000 shares @ 93.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$-11.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
2000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.9K
$10.00
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
1929 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.8K
$-15.96
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1996 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$-9.86
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 91.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$-50.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2000 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$30.00
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.7K
$-10.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
2000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.7K
$50.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.7K
$50.00
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
1833 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.6K
$5.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$190.30May 18, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$252.27May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$148.33May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$46.17May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$1.6KMay 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$346.51May 18, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$499.27May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$58.52May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.9KMay 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$137.76May 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$640.36May 18, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$750.59May 18, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$44.48May 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$50.40May 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$8.06May 18, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$0.57May 18, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$1.87May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$88.00May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$3.12May 18, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$70.70May 18, 06:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $204.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 03:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 83 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".