Kaleidoscopic-Camp
0x8afa03dd6974e44d00c4d14dcccb00c0ddf6adb6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$654.6K
Total PnL
$34.9K
Realised
$28.5K
Win rate
100%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
283355 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$269.9K
$6.4K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
129503 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$126.2K
$1.9K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
134761 shares @ 88.1¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$116.6K
$-2.2K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
72646 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$69.4K
$363.30
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
28484 shares @ 91.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.8K
$-342.33
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
17607 shares @ 88.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$14.0K
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
12296 shares @ 39.9¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.9K
$-54.56
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
11984 shares @ 35.4¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.7K
$485.66
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
4516 shares @ 93.4¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.4K
$176.88
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
3871 shares @ 78.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.6K
$569.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$13.00May 18, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$953.00May 18, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$3.10May 18, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$55.00May 18, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$94.00May 18, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$200.54May 18, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$9.41May 18, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$192.00May 18, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.00May 18, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$500.00May 18, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.97May 18, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$5.82May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.61May 17, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.61May 17, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$6.39May 17, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$25.57May 17, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.61May 17, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$7.10May 17, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$21.40May 17, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$29.25May 17, 21:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $46.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".