Lumpy-Mood
0x8b01e664b6f1c434e1ccd3585441188e7219e149
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$905.76
Total PnL
$-6.97
Realised
$-2.29
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
400 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$399.80
$-0.20
- NO
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?
303 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$300.85
$-0.15
- NO
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
200 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$199.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.22
$0.06
- NO
Will Sung Il-jong win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.13
$0.07
- YES
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
2 shares @ 74.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.11
$-0.15
- NO
Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.76
$-0.30
- PVISION
Dota 2: PVISION vs. Team Liquid
6 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?$301.04May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$200.01May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$400.02May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$70.13May 15, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$70.01May 14, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$69.71May 14, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$70.01May 14, 05:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 27, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$69.92Mar 26, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$65.38Mar 26, 05:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 26, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 25, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$65.00Mar 23, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$64.48Mar 23, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$65.00Mar 23, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$70.00Mar 23, 12:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 2, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$159.83Mar 1, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$150.12Mar 1, 09:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $64.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 08:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".