Unfit-Belly
0x8b0d07255cfbb048c20adf2c412c78bfd069fec9
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$332.93
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$166.56
Win rate
59%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
400 shares @ 33.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.96
$-18.04
- YES
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
566 shares @ 7.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$99.11
$56.73
- YES
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1404 shares @ 2.4¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$44.22
$10.27
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
85 shares @ 17.2¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$36.12
$21.47
- YES
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
142 shares @ 11.1¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$32.76
$16.97
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
500 shares @ 3.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.75
$-11.25
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
13725 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-73.73
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
8300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-85.71
- YES
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
4921 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-27.07
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
4283 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-283.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$18.00Apr 28, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$132.00Apr 28, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$6.00Apr 10, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Suns$5.60Apr 9, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Clippers$4.50Apr 9, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Clippers$3.90Apr 9, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Clippers$4.12Apr 9, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Clippers$4.50Apr 9, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Clippers$0.89Apr 9, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Clippers$0.00Apr 9, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK strike Iran by April 30?$14.00Apr 8, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$30.35Apr 8, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$22.05Apr 7, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$12.60Apr 7, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$8.11Apr 7, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$15.89Apr 7, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$1.38Apr 7, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$18.00Apr 7, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$4.62Apr 7, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?$36.00Apr 7, 11:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $17.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 12:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 22:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".