Hard-To-Find-Forum
0x8b18ffca174408b68b5229d3229facdbeb16a728
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$6.85
Total PnL
$-459.08
Realised
$5.97
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 24?
65 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$3.23
$0.65
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 24?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.25
$-2.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 25?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 25, 2026$1.37
$-3.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 16?
465 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-22.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 16?
416 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-15.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on March 23?
176 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-16.01
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
175 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 23?
163 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-13.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 24?
160 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 88°F or higher on March 25?
153 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-15.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 24?$5.00May 23, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 24?$0.86May 23, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 24?$0.85May 23, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 24?$0.87May 23, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 25?$2.89May 23, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 25?$0.42May 23, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 25?$0.65May 23, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 25?$1.04May 23, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$5.61May 23, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$5.10May 23, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$5.10May 23, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$9.00May 23, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$5.73May 23, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$5.64May 22, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$9.00May 22, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.64May 22, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.28May 22, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$5.33May 22, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$8.00May 22, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$6.57May 22, 07:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 19:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 06:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".