Modest-Image
0x8b44f04bdc874824af5422fc0da3cf25413933b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$685.35
Total PnL
$-359.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
131 shares @ 75.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.38
$7.20
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
70 shares @ 71.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$67.25
$17.25
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
83 shares @ 60.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$57.49
$7.49
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
263 shares @ 19.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$55.26
$5.26
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
204 shares @ 24.5¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$50.92
$0.92
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
109 shares @ 46.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$48.37
$-1.63
- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
50 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$47.23
$5.72
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
50 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$46.75
$3.25
- NO
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
46 shares @ 95.7¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.90
$0.87
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
50 shares @ 88.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$38.75
$-5.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$50.00May 9, 17:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$100.00May 8, 18:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$25.00May 4, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$50.00May 4, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$116.96May 4, 16:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $19.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".