Serene-Decision
0x8b4bca1d794779e66e023d44391b2a86c5ab541b
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$1.6M
Total PnL
$-19.0K
Realised
$275.53
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
272750 shares @ 86.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$260.5K
$25.1K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
190000 shares @ 81.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$166.2K
$11.2K
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
147816 shares @ 89.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$138.2K
$5.9K
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
133208 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$132.3K
$3.1K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
132418 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$130.5K
$1.8K
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
127134 shares @ 95.2¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$125.4K
$4.3K
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
120247 shares @ 82.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$101.6K
$2.9K
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
100000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.5K
$7.5K
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
100000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$88.5K
$-1.5K
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
76582 shares @ 90.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$71.6K
$2.5K
Recent activity
- YIELD$12.55May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$12.55May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$12.55May 16, 00:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$13.68May 15, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$12.55May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?$20.22May 14, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$150.48May 14, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$5.47May 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?$22.78May 14, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$8.07May 14, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$5.18May 14, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?$8.30May 14, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$3.3KMay 14, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$47.0KMay 14, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?$89.74May 14, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?$4.15May 14, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$199.00May 14, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?$583.68May 14, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$95.90May 14, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$603.03May 14, 14:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 16:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".