Lucky-Blog
0x8ba7c26fb8f4e3416c0604734e899bca2ffaa1c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$77.26
Total PnL
$-21.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 36.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.50
$4.50
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
32 shares @ 9.4¢·now 19.7¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$6.27
$3.27
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
250 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.88
$-1.13
- YES
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
27 shares @ 15.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.47
$1.47
- YES
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
161 shares @ 3.1¢·now 3.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.08
$0.08
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.44
$2.44
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.75
$-1.25
- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
4 shares @ 67.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
11 shares @ 27.2¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.48
$0.48
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 51.6¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.29
$0.29
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$15.91May 15, 10:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 30, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 16:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".