Defensive-Mussel
0x8bb05212607f45175e1166bb9f73ee5b6308c328
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$146.24
Total PnL
$-83.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?
60 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$59.85
$7.05
- YES
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)
110 shares @ 33.8¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$43.49
$6.26
- NO
Will Trump say "All time high" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?
40 shares @ 71.9¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$20.00
$-8.75
- NO
Will Trump say "Inflation" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?
10 shares @ 54.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$6.30
$0.90
- YES
Will Trump say "War" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?
10 shares @ 19.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.25
$3.35
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?
10 shares @ 43.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.05
$0.75
- YES
Will Trump say "Oil" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?
10 shares @ 36.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.30
$-0.30
- YES
Will Trump say "Budget" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?
10 shares @ 33.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?
96 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-48.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 21?
50 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?$53.12May 22, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$4.40May 22, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Inflation" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$5.50May 22, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Budget" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$3.39May 22, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "War" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$1.96May 22, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Oil" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$3.69May 22, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "All time high" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$25.48May 22, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "All time high" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$3.59May 22, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 21?$0.00May 21, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 21?$10.38May 21, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 21?$2.14May 21, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?$15.97May 21, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?$5.17May 21, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 21?$5.13May 21, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 21?$10.75May 20, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?$10.35May 20, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?$1.50May 20, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 21?$7.82May 20, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?$29.56May 20, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?$19.58May 20, 07:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $12.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 01:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 04:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".