Big-Waterbed
0x8cc21c6ac286409d24dad291ac50d86339b264de
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$876.89
Total PnL
$-567.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
1671 shares @ 17.9¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$375.91
$75.91
- YES
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
1887 shares @ 13.7¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$226.40
$-31.60
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
3726 shares @ 8.1¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$117.35
$-182.64
- YES
NATO article 5 before 2027?
509 shares @ 15.9¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.97
$-2.03
- YES
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
3261 shares @ 6.3¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$78.26
$-126.74
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
804 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
217 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNATO article 5 before 2027?$81.00Apr 12, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$100.00Apr 12, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by June 30?$100.00Apr 12, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$100.00Apr 12, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$100.00Apr 12, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$100.00Apr 6, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$158.00Apr 6, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$100.00Apr 6, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by June 30?$105.00Apr 6, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$300.00Apr 6, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$200.00Apr 6, 14:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $131.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 14:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 16:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".