0x8d2e777cbe11109c8afe52438f881b5d5441f022
0x8d2e777cbe11109c8afe52438f881b5d5441f022
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$79.57
Win rate
38%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 4?
172 shares @ 23.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$171.52
$131.19
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
116 shares @ 82.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$108.32
$13.02
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
82 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$78.31
$2.87
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
190 shares @ 11.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$69.52
$48.57
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 3?
69 shares @ 82.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$69.08
$11.88
- NO
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?
84 shares @ 31.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$52.73
$26.78
- YES
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
188 shares @ 21.3¢·now 27.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.87
$10.87
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
54 shares @ 68.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$48.77
$11.79
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
48 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.42
$2.67
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
46 shares @ 65.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.53
$8.54
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 17?$17.04May 17, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 17?$20.54May 17, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 17?$31.25May 17, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?$0.27May 17, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?$0.27May 17, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?$0.27May 17, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?$0.27May 17, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?$0.27May 17, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?$0.27May 17, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$0.16May 17, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?$0.27May 17, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?$0.27May 17, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?$0.27May 17, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$0.41May 17, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?$0.27May 17, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$0.41May 17, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$0.41May 17, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$0.41May 17, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$0.41May 17, 15:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".