Meager-Essay
0x8de5f64b6466d9ebec97909f78a11762a46f9416
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-343.12
Win rate
43%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- EASTERN ILLINOIS PANTHERS
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
682 shares @ 79.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$682.00
$137.76
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
970 shares @ 63.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$644.81
$34.00
- YES
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?
1312 shares @ 34.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$564.16
$118.08
- PORTSMOUTH FC
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)
334 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$334.00
$53.44
- TEMPLE OWLS
Michigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls
525 shares @ 75.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$262.50
$-131.25
- NO
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
546 shares @ 18.8¢·now 34.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$190.83
$88.18
- NO
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?
186 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$186.00
$24.18
- NO
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?
203 shares @ 67.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$140.05
$4.04
- YES
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?
482 shares @ 17.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$125.32
$43.38
- NO
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
40 shares @ 61.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.00
$8.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$168.80Apr 21, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$8.80Apr 21, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$6.24Apr 21, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Best Action Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$87.68Apr 21, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$162.52Apr 21, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$120.90Apr 21, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$436.80Apr 21, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$751.19Apr 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$496.32Apr 13, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$26.10Apr 13, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$196.69Apr 13, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$261.79Apr 13, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$730.50Apr 13, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cardiff City FC win on 2026-03-28?$380.24Apr 13, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?$197.34Apr 13, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?$200.56Apr 13, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?$130.87Apr 13, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$145.79Apr 13, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$767.52Apr 13, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$870.87Apr 13, 07:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $248.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 02:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 10:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".