Exciting-Bacon
0x8e38316e397bac51bbe1db140884f7c93ae81a4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$135.83
Total PnL
$-123.98
Realised
$21.53
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- YES
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
29 shares @ 46.3¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.82
$7.33
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
19 shares @ 50.3¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.85
$2.15
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
10 shares @ 67.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.06
$3.06
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$7.82
$2.82
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
24 shares @ 16.8¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$7.45
$3.49
- YES
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
21 shares @ 24.1¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.93
$1.93
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.86
$1.86
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
33 shares @ 17.9¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.69
$0.69
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.42
$1.42
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
8 shares @ 49.1¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.07
$1.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$5.14May 18, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$4.45May 17, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.06May 17, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$5.04May 17, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$0.64May 17, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.05May 17, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$5.10May 16, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?$5.08May 16, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$5.07May 16, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$0.90May 16, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.04May 16, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$3.57May 16, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$2.07May 16, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$2.81May 16, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.05May 16, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.04May 16, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$2.73May 16, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$3.10May 16, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.03May 16, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.04May 16, 12:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 23:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".