Real-Index
0x8e9c786cca6677cce009ad865f8579833ca2efab
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$232.95
Total PnL
$-924.26
Realised
$6.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$11.53
$1.53
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 8.8¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.31
$0.31
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$9.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$8.04
$-1.96
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 30, 2026$7.02
$2.02
- YES
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
7 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.66
$0.66
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
18 shares @ 38.2¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
39 shares @ 15.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
8 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$6.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$5.32
$0.32
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$6.67May 18, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$8.33May 18, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$9.26May 18, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$11.11May 18, 04:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$5.19May 17, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.04May 17, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$5.19May 17, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$10.16May 17, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$5.19May 17, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.22May 17, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.23May 17, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud$5.03May 17, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?$5.95May 17, 01:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi$2.90May 16, 06:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunis: Tristan Boyer vs Inaki Montes$2.02May 15, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi$2.02May 15, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev$4.35May 15, 08:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $5.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 17:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".