Puzzled-Profit
0x8ed29c19dc455e2b4a5f27bb4b08b1267fe3d2b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$77.81
Total PnL
$-187.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on May 25?
44 shares @ 82.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$31.68
$-4.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 23?
27 shares @ 83.3¢·now 76.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$20.27
$-1.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 24?
12 shares @ 39.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$4.50
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 25?
260 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 25, 2026$3.38
$2.38
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?
3 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 23?
10 shares @ 15.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$2.40
$0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 24?
10 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 25?
140 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 25, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 25?
183 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 64°F or higher on May 23?$1.05May 23, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 23?$1.05May 23, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 23?$1.05May 23, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 23?$8.27May 23, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on May 25?$1.05May 23, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 25?$1.05May 23, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 25?$1.05May 23, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 25?$1.05May 23, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 25?$1.05May 23, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 25?$1.05May 23, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 25?$1.05May 23, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 25?$1.05May 23, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 25?$0.45May 23, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on May 25?$36.40May 23, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 23?$8.47May 23, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 23?$1.56May 23, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 23?$5.60May 23, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on May 24?$1.05May 23, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 24?$1.05May 23, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$3.17May 23, 14:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $7.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 14:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".