Lucky-Reunion
0x8eed354c766301b2227e658561e129cdba104de4
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$957.10
Total PnL
$-57.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
2224 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$233.57
$33.57
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
3104 shares @ 4.8¢·now 5.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$159.84
$9.84
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
563 shares @ 26.7¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$149.14
$-0.86
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$110.00
$10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
104 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$104.17
$4.17
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
1385 shares @ 7.2¢·now 5.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$78.97
$-21.03
- YES
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
435 shares @ 23.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$67.43
$-32.57
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1200 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$53.99
$-18.00
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
711 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-42.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$100.28May 18, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?$103.08May 18, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$200.00May 18, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$100.00May 18, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$100.00May 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$150.00May 18, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$150.00May 17, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$71.99May 17, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$375.00May 17, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$696.45May 17, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$44.45May 16, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$130.13May 16, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$154.50May 16, 12:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $118.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 12:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 20:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".