Tricky-Overload
0x8f34e45fe06d6fad7d9d9d2738859a4022c02f50
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
126
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-3.46
Realised
$69.05
Win rate
68%
63 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 126- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
30 shares @ 94.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$29.93
$1.49
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in May 2026?
30 shares @ 94.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$29.89
$1.43
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?
30 shares @ 94.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.85
$1.47
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
30 shares @ 91.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$29.78
$2.45
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?
30 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$29.76
$3.06
- NO
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
30 shares @ 94.4¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.75
$1.43
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in May 2026?
30 shares @ 92.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$29.71
$1.84
- NO
Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's US Open?
30 shares @ 93.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$29.61
$1.53
- NO
Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
30 shares @ 89.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$29.54
$2.68
- NO
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
30 shares @ 93.8¢·now 98.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$29.50
$1.36
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$15.00May 18, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?$26.85May 18, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$1.71May 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Legends: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?$29.97May 18, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$11.40May 18, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Devil May Cry: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?$5.70May 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$25.93May 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$19.02May 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$10.60May 18, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$13.83May 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$0.96May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$24.29May 18, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$27.09May 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$23.09May 18, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$7.80May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$21.94May 18, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?$1.87May 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$5.10May 18, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.79May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$10.67May 18, 05:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $14.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 63 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".