Watchful-Disguise
0x8f3a1da6345aa915333a76c15224a271e72cc4fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.62
Total PnL
$-754.46
Realised
$3.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 20?
374 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$3.55
$0.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 20?
322 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.77
$-2.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 20?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.30
$-2.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on April 26?
1661 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 23?
1524 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on April 24?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 26?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on April 23?
1437 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on May 3?
1353 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 3?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 20?$0.20May 20, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 20?$0.06May 20, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on May 20?$0.14May 20, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on May 20?$0.42May 20, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 77°F or below on May 22?$0.12May 20, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 77°F or below on May 22?$0.08May 20, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 20?$0.10May 20, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 20?$0.04May 20, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on May 20?$0.92May 20, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on May 20?$1.48May 20, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 20?$1.50May 20, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 20?$1.50May 20, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 20?$0.04May 20, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 20?$0.07May 20, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 20?$0.08May 20, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 20?$0.16May 20, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 20?$0.05May 20, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 20?$0.80May 20, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 20?$0.86May 20, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 20?$0.62May 20, 05:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 03:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 05:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".