Submissive-Communist
0x8f7a4b414417911e7e9bd738399874792cdbdb40
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$33.7K
Total PnL
$-1.9M
Realised
$-96.5K
Win rate
22%
94 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
8000 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.9K
$-27.99
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
10871 shares @ 53.0¢·now 64.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.0K
$1.2K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
7020 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$6.4K
$105.30
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
5000 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.9K
$32.51
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
5000 shares @ 56.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.1K
$1.3K
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
19575 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.4K
$97.87
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
10495 shares @ 28.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$787.14
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
5061 shares @ 5.6¢·now 2.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$149.30
$-134.81
- YES
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
77384 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$38.69
$-38.7K
- YES
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
22002 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$11.00
$-154.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.92May 18, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.00May 18, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$2.0KMay 18, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$5.4KMay 18, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.6KMay 18, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$81.90May 18, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$45.50May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$310.91May 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$47.70May 18, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$53.19May 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$49.21May 18, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$60.61May 18, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$9.10May 18, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$318.50May 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$48.78May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$10.92May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$6.83May 18, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$100.00May 18, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$34.70May 18, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?$60.0KMay 18, 02:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $369.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 23:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 94 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".