Vivacious-Manipulation
0x906f2454a777600aea6c506247566decef82371a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$7.1K
Total PnL
$-21.6K
Realised
$-242.85
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 77°F or below on May 22?
353 shares @ 96.9¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$340.71
$-1.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 21?
281 shares @ 91.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$281.25
$23.34
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 22?
309 shares @ 90.3¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$281.14
$2.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 21?
278 shares @ 82.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$278.48
$49.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 18?
271 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$271.00
$8.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 18?
263 shares @ 90.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$262.56
$24.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 22?
335 shares @ 77.6¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$259.44
$-0.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 18?
253 shares @ 80.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$252.98
$48.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 22?
253 shares @ 94.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$251.95
$12.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 22?
261 shares @ 78.4¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$245.81
$40.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 23?$24.05May 22, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 22?$14.53May 22, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on May 22?$23.73May 22, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 22?$22.25May 22, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 22?$4.35May 22, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on May 22?$21.75May 22, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 22?$5.11May 22, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 22?$1.52May 22, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 22?$0.86May 22, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 22?$1.42May 22, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 22?$0.86May 22, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 22?$1.39May 22, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 22?$14.10May 22, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 22?$0.55May 22, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 22?$0.75May 22, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 22?$0.05May 22, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 22?$19.69May 22, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 22?$22.08May 22, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on May 22?$22.74May 22, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 22?$20.36May 22, 01:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $13.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 20:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 02:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".