Finished-Thermals
0x909d886e89bb1ae7e5244f59bff791dbe32541f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$352.26
Total PnL
$12.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
206 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$206.00
$39.15
- YES
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?
80 shares @ 28.4¢·now 56.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.76
$22.05
- NO
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
100 shares @ 38.8¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$37.50
$-1.28
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$22.00
$8.00
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
100 shares @ 18.1¢·now 16.3¢·exp May 25, 2026$16.25
$-1.84
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$15.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?
100 shares @ 13.1¢·now 10.8¢·exp May 25, 2026$10.75
$-2.35
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
300 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-16.02
- YES
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
206 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-37.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$37.63Apr 7, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$166.85Apr 7, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?$14.00Apr 7, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?$13.00Apr 7, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$38.78Apr 7, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?$13.10Apr 7, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?$18.09Apr 7, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?$300.00Apr 7, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?$20.70Feb 24, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?$2.01Feb 24, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?$270.00Feb 16, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$16.02Feb 16, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?$310.91Feb 16, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?$294.10Jan 10, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?$295.06Jan 10, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?$76.78Oct 21, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by June 30? $0.00Oct 21, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $120K on July 25?$0.00Oct 21, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.00Oct 21, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be less than $2.40 on October 15?$0.00Oct 21, 13:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $137.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 08:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 01:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".