Knotty-Trowel
0x921d8ed282d83978f4d5e12be45403effebcefb8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$93.51
Realised
$246.77
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
2868 shares @ 77.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.5K
$315.60
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
300 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$290.40
$5.40
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
5803 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$261.15
$29.02
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
2661 shares @ 13.1¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$247.49
$-101.37
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
200 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$199.90
$4.10
- NO
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
200 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$199.40
$2.00
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?
107 shares @ 80.1¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$106.09
$20.18
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
100 shares @ 89.3¢·now 90.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$90.70
$1.40
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
100 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.55
$3.55
- YES
Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 89.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$89.15
$14.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$8.00May 18, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$300.00May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$224.14May 18, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?$30.00May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$4.63May 18, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$90.50May 18, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.71May 18, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.26May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$3.94May 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.12May 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.16May 18, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.16May 18, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.51May 18, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$4.88May 18, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$3.13May 18, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$5.50May 18, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$66.11May 18, 03:27 UTC
- MERGEWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$16.88May 18, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$3.62May 18, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$4.16May 18, 03:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $32.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".