Playful-Circulation
0x92e53057ef2872722a53fe807245bd387e1defee
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
135
Open notional
$120.4K
Total PnL
$4.2K
Realised
$4.2K
Win rate
67%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 135- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
18888 shares @ 89.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.8K
$872.23
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
15220 shares @ 69.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.5K
$4.0K
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
8351 shares @ 88.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$8.3K
$914.52
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
11790 shares @ 59.5¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$7.5K
$470.54
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
11499 shares @ 60.3¢·now 63.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.3K
$372.89
- NO
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
7221 shares @ 89.7¢·now 92.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$6.6K
$166.69
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
6116 shares @ 68.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.0K
$829.87
- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
5992 shares @ 33.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$3.4K
$1.5K
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
3333 shares @ 91.1¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$58.33
- NO
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
2228 shares @ 93.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.2K
$127.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$18.00May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$201.81May 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$72.00May 18, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$316.31May 18, 04:01 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.72May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 18, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$4.72May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-4.5)$533.28May 17, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$25.85May 17, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$36.73May 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$122.22May 17, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$61.59May 17, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?$10.14May 17, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?$7.02May 17, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$210.68May 17, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$70.95May 17, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$5.00May 17, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$0.14May 17, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$0.60May 17, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$1.20May 17, 10:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $316.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 21:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".