Murky-Rhetoric
0x93521335308a270795daa9f073b5406938b12227
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$143.31
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
700 shares @ 81.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$605.49
$38.50
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
751 shares @ 64.7¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$514.58
$28.48
- NO
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?
450 shares @ 81.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$407.25
$41.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
1359 shares @ 51.6¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$278.64
$-422.87
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
492 shares @ 58.9¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$223.74
$-65.90
- YES
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
232 shares @ 64.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$207.61
$58.41
- NO
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
250 shares @ 65.4¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$175.97
$12.78
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
556 shares @ 48.3¢·now 29.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$164.13
$-104.75
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
288 shares @ 22.0¢·now 44.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$129.12
$65.74
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 35.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$100.00
$-180.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.12May 18, 10:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$174.41May 17, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$392.58May 17, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$339.99May 17, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$1.9KMay 17, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$58.95May 17, 02:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.22May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$5.43May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$806.29May 16, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$946.75May 16, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$186.71May 16, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$382.43May 16, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$16.43May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$5.49May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$78.24May 16, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$60.45May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$37.00May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$4.60May 16, 22:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $153.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".