Grumpy-Marble
0x941d96852280dd7f03d787dfea08f0c2a7c72baa
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$533.87
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
233 shares @ 86.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$187.21
$-12.79
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
154 shares @ 91.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$128.46
$-11.54
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
561 shares @ 17.8¢·now 16.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$92.28
$-7.72
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$58.33
$8.33
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
120 shares @ 16.1¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$21.78
$2.46
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
120 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.98
$0.66
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
120 shares @ 11.1¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.62
$0.30
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
120 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.14
$-0.66
- YES
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.06
$-2.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
613 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$5.00May 19, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$8.00May 19, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$7.23May 19, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$7.48May 19, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$6.62May 19, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$4.25May 19, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$5.72May 19, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$0.63May 19, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$6.74May 19, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$3.10May 19, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$14.48May 19, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$2.51May 19, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$5.72May 19, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$3.40May 19, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$8.65May 19, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$12.28May 19, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$11.21May 19, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$6.92May 19, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$7.07May 19, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$5.00May 19, 17:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $5.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 16:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 18:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".