Lonely-Jacket
0x944e0472b99926f4f712fc97dc0a846a8c5d8c94
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$108.2K
Total PnL
$3.1K
Realised
$2.8K
Win rate
27%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
25500 shares @ 75.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$25.4K
$6.1K
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
32026 shares @ 55.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$20.3K
$2.7K
- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
12999 shares @ 47.9¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$7.6K
$1.4K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
7888 shares @ 72.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.5K
$1.9K
- YES
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
9835 shares @ 34.8¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.7K
$2.3K
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
5444 shares @ 59.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.6K
$1.4K
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
6888 shares @ 70.6¢·now 59.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.1K
$-802.11
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
5000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.9K
$-225.00
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
5000 shares @ 81.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.8K
$-225.00
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
3000 shares @ 82.3¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.9K
$433.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$487.35May 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$885.00May 18, 03:25 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$14.98May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$5.61May 18, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?$6.4KMay 17, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?$9.3KMay 17, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$47.88May 17, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$138.30May 17, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1.38May 17, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.50May 17, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$198.44May 17, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$39.91May 17, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$250.00May 17, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$4.95May 17, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$8.53May 17, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$196.61May 17, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$17.15May 17, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$19.78May 17, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$20.82May 17, 06:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $170.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 11:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".