Wild-Placebo
0x94dd9524ff94e242c8d83051373aaf22f8bbbc0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$11.94
Total PnL
$-0.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.32
$1.32
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
4 shares @ 47.5¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.25
$0.25
- NO
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- MAYWEATHER
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Tariq Obaid as Taro Sakamoto (SAKAMOTO DAYS) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Arabic) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.39
$-0.61
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.60 in April?$1.46May 1, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$5.56Apr 29, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$1.92Apr 24, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in April?$1.00Apr 16, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Apr 11, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.00Apr 11, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.44Apr 8, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.01Apr 8, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.00Apr 8, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.00Apr 8, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.00Apr 8, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$1.00Apr 8, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.00Apr 8, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tariq Obaid as Taro Sakamoto (SAKAMOTO DAYS) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Arabic) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$1.00Apr 8, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 8, 07:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 06:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 09:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".