Unfortunate-Service
0x94e4831a4e7d37ad0063def3707706b9158e6be5
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
136
Open notional
$547.89
Total PnL
$-442.26
Realised
$22.11
Win rate
79%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 136- YES
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
320 shares @ 30.3¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$68.80
$-28.20
- NO
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
100 shares @ 31.5¢·now 32.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2026$32.00
$0.50
- NO
Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?
50 shares @ 86.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$29.50
$-13.50
- NO
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
20 shares @ 96.2¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.05
$-0.19
- NO
Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?
50 shares @ 75.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Sep 15, 2026$18.75
$-18.75
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
40 shares @ 47.6¢·now 46.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.72
$-0.34
- YES
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
100 shares @ 70.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$18.50
$-51.50
- YES
Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?
50 shares @ 69.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Sep 15, 2026$18.25
$-16.25
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
50 shares @ 68.1¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.65
$-16.40
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
20 shares @ 43.0¢·now 85.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.17
$8.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill David Ross be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?$0.14May 17, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Beltran be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?$0.20May 17, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Ross be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?$0.20May 17, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?$2.20May 17, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?$5.05May 17, 09:18 UTC
- REWARD$1.01May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeyson Lopez advance from the California Lieutenant Governor Primary in 2026?$0.94May 16, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$3.20May 16, 00:22 UTC
- REWARD$1.76May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeyson Lopez advance from the California Lieutenant Governor Primary in 2026?$0.06May 15, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$3.00May 15, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sean Collinson advance from the California Lieutenant Governor Primary in 2026?$1.20May 15, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 15, 2026?$6.40May 15, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2?$0.43May 15, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 15, 2026?$1.05May 15, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$6.00May 15, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2?$1.97May 15, 03:55 UTC
- REWARD$1.25May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?$7.80May 14, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 15, 2026?$3.15May 14, 21:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 17:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".