Yellow-Speculation
0x95143bf12f8c034f5fe15ac696b893e23788136f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$12.8K
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?
6015 shares @ 89.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.4K
$38.57
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-06 House seat?
1951 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.9K
$74.14
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-05 House seat?
1665 shares @ 91.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.5K
$-1.82
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat?
1546 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.4K
$23.19
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-03 House seat?
1050 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$971.25
$26.25
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?
1190 shares @ 87.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$957.95
$-77.35
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?
814 shares @ 91.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$659.31
$-81.40
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
7000 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.5K
- NO
Will PDC win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?
250 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-247.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat?$1.4KMay 12, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the TX-05 House seat?$1.5KMay 12, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the LA-03 House seat?$948.78May 11, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?$743.37May 11, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?$1.0KMay 11, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?$3.6KMay 11, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?$1.8KMay 11, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NJ-06 House seat?$1.8KMay 11, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?$164.86Jan 23, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWeed rescheduled in 2025?$200.00Jan 23, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill neither OP_CTV nor OP_CAT be activated in 2025?$1.0KJan 23, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill only OP_CTV be activated in 2025?$1.7KJan 23, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?$2.2KJan 23, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?$2.8KJan 23, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate hike in 2025?$5.2KJan 23, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?$1.1KNov 15, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?$5.51Nov 15, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?$379.72Nov 15, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2025?$940.80Aug 27, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?$1.0KAug 15, 22:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 08:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".