Alarming-Vane-Group
0x954124efa0694d3bb2b27bbd2ab3811e95c333b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$28.87
Total PnL
$-5.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
6 shares @ 94.2¢·now 94.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.00
$0.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
5 shares @ 93.3¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.18
$0.18
- YES
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will the White House Press Secretary say "President" 30+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.83
$-0.17
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA say "Data Center" 20+ times during their next earnings call?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA say "Data Center" 20+ times during their next earnings call?$1.00May 19, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.02May 19, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$6.00May 19, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$1.00May 19, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.01May 19, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.02May 18, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$5.68May 18, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House Press Secretary say "President" 30+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?$5.02May 18, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?$5.03May 18, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.35May 18, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$5.04May 18, 14:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $3.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 04:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".