Piercing-Formation
0x9578af80708f271f705e27867dcf6ec653acf066
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$10.8K
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$61.23
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will Itzy release a song in 2026?
3554 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.6K
$4.46
- YES
Will SZA release a new song in 2026?
5401 shares @ 96.9¢·now 60.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.3K
$-2.0K
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$650.80
$250.80
- NO
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
1037 shares @ 76.9¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$394.11
$-403.38
- NO
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
314 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 22, 2026$312.55
$1.37
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?
276 shares @ 89.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$275.29
$27.25
- YES
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
371 shares @ 71.3¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$229.82
$-34.43
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$149.20
$-250.80
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?
120 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$118.78
$1.62
- NO
Will "Hit The Wall - Gracie Abrams" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
109 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 22, 2026$108.50
$0.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?$0.29May 18, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in May?$4.80May 18, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gracie Abrams have a #1 hit in May?$44.66May 18, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?$14.95May 18, 03:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 160k?$29.18May 17, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 80k and 100k?$17.25May 17, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 80k?$28.56May 17, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?$16.77May 17, 15:56 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$800.00May 17, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SZA release a new song in 2026?$5.2KMay 17, 04:20 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.9KMay 17, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Itzy release a song in 2026?$3.5KMay 17, 03:22 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.7KMay 17, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hit The Wall - Gracie Abrams" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$8.80May 17, 03:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.31May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.99May 17, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$2.64May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 80k?$6.37May 16, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 80k?$11.53May 16, 21:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $378.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 14:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".