Busy-Doorpost
0x9690d9f51b618222c29567c3b39aac2935a5f2d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$19.6K
Total PnL
$-13.3K
Realised
$-1.4K
Win rate
44%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
3831 shares @ 62.8¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$2.8K
$410.09
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
3000 shares @ 90.7¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.8K
$64.50
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
2806 shares @ 82.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.7K
$427.47
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
2432 shares @ 44.4¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$-46.48
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
1000 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$999.49
$23.50
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 71.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$865.00
$155.00
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
1000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$865.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
1028 shares @ 71.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$801.55
$72.21
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 71.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$764.99
$55.00
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
1000 shares @ 63.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$734.99
$105.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$184.51May 18, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.43May 18, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.07May 18, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.03May 18, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.09May 18, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.08May 18, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.21May 18, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.07May 18, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.11May 18, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.04May 18, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.08May 18, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.09May 18, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.13May 18, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.31May 18, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.01May 18, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.01May 18, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.11May 18, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$8.82May 18, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$13.37May 18, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.11May 18, 02:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $139.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 13:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".