Light-Pantologist
0x978379e389e7e468c8abb1390d366e3e1f7dac60
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$589.41
Total PnL
$-166.31
Realised
$-3.23
Win rate
20%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
314 shares @ 39.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.21
$-20.29
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
132 shares @ 63.9¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$78.77
$-5.82
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
117 shares @ 68.6¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$69.34
$-10.66
- YES
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
247 shares @ 17.6¢·now 16.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$40.84
$-2.66
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
43 shares @ 69.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$40.22
$10.22
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
40 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$38.51
$2.51
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
26 shares @ 77.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$25.01
$5.01
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
27 shares @ 78.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.75
$3.75
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$21.92
$11.92
- NO
Discord IPO before 2027?
47 shares @ 32.1¢·now 45.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.12
$6.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$1.37May 16, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.03May 14, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.55May 14, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.70May 14, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?$3.50May 14, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$20.00May 14, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?$4.54May 14, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?$3.36May 14, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$3.59May 14, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$2.27May 14, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$1.69May 14, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win Eurovision 2026?$3.15May 13, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$9.79May 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?$5.00May 12, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$10.34May 12, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$10.34May 12, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?$13.06May 12, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$16.00May 11, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$10.22May 11, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1.00May 11, 15:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $9.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 10:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".