0x98af93ada2bf25c60b8b42a4d119ed996ceb2be4
0x98af93ada2bf25c60b8b42a4d119ed996ceb2be4
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$618.96
Total PnL
$-36.57
Realised
$-0.78
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
152 shares @ 48.4¢·now 64.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.81
$24.30
- NO
Will Elon Musk attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
70 shares @ 77.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$70.00
$15.78
- NO
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
84 shares @ 57.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.78
$18.40
- NO
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
65 shares @ 56.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$64.87
$28.47
- NO
Will Netherlands win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
44 shares @ 92.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$43.90
$3.46
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
119 shares @ 12.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.24
$27.99
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
35 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$35.00
$4.90
- NO
Will Sergio Garcia win the 2026 Masters tournament?
32 shares @ 91.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$32.31
$2.88
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
147 shares @ 13.7¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.14
$9.95
- NO
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
30 shares @ 85.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$30.00
$4.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill James Clapper be arrested before 2027?$4.33May 9, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Clapper be arrested before 2027?$1.48May 9, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Clapper be arrested before 2027?$1.48May 9, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Clapper be arrested before 2027?$1.48May 9, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?$6.68May 7, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?$1.55May 5, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?$1.55May 4, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?$1.55May 4, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?$1.48May 4, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?$1.48May 4, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?$1.48May 4, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?$1.55May 4, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Letitia James be arrested before 2027?$5.06May 4, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Letitia James be arrested before 2027?$4.95May 4, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?$9.09May 4, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Clapper be arrested before 2027?$2.11May 4, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Clapper be arrested before 2027?$2.11May 4, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Brennan be arrested before 2027?$4.27May 4, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Letitia James be arrested before 2027?$2.97May 4, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win a trophy this season?$2.65May 4, 08:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 18:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 12:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".