Serpentine-Oversight
0x98fce428db4b92b4c9e5427b4c9822fbc7025382
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
200 shares @ 90.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$155.00
$-25.00
- YES
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
715 shares @ 18.6¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$118.02
$-14.83
- NO
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$98.25
$0.05
- NO
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
100 shares @ 96.7¢·now 94.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.65
$-2.05
- NO
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 46.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$81.00
$-11.00
- NO
Anthropic CEO arrested?
50 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.48
$1.73
- NO
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
50 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 6, 2027$49.15
$0.65
- NO
EU dissolves before 2027?
50 shares @ 96.6¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.23
$-0.07
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
40 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.42
$0.62
- NO
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
40 shares @ 67.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.18
$6.38
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$17.80May 17, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$48.56May 17, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?$19.99May 17, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?$40.00May 17, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$80.00May 17, 08:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?$8.55May 15, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?$18.09May 15, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dozen eggs cost <$1.75 in April?$9.98May 15, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?$20.00May 15, 07:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$98.27May 9, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?$18.85May 9, 09:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $26.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 15:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".