Clean-Conviction
0x993ca0d06026a69a7e7b9e0191133ddcb8c9eae0
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$573.41
Total PnL
$-559.42
Realised
$13.15
Win rate
70%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
239 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$239.00
$78.87
- NO
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
126 shares @ 15.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$64.89
$45.99
- NO
Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?
53 shares @ 84.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.00
$8.14
- NO
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?
41 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.00
$2.32
- YES
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
395 shares @ 26.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$21.53
$-81.17
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?
21 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$21.00
$0.23
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 91.3¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$20.07
$-0.39
- YES
US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?
17 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$17.00
$0.19
- YES
Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
164 shares @ 59.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.40
$-80.36
- NO
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
16 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$16.00
$0.32
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$0.26Apr 21, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?$4.41Apr 21, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$0.35Apr 21, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$20.79Apr 21, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMForeign intervention in Gaza in 2025?$38.00Jan 12, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on December 4?$62.00Jan 12, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Turkey military clash in 2025?$71.00Jan 12, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine strike in Russia on 28 November 2025?$77.00Jan 12, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMNew Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025?$85.00Jan 12, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 3%?$91.00Jan 12, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill a turkey audibly gobble during the Thanksgiving Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?$114.00Jan 12, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMHayden Davis in jail in 2025?$240.00Jan 12, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bryan Johnson say "Polymarket" while tripping balls?$306.94Jan 12, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael withdraws from Syria in 2025?$307.00Jan 12, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?$15.40Jan 11, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?$48.16Jan 11, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?$117.88Jan 11, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?$220.32Jan 11, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?$18.90Jan 11, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$51.06Jan 11, 04:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $91.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 20:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 09:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".